As I sit
here Monday evening with the Dow having closed down 2000 points and the 10-year
Treasury yield around 0.5%, the title of this update seems utterly ridiculous.
With the new coronavirus still spreading and a collapse in oil prices
threatening the entire shale oil industry, recession is now the expected
outcome. Most...
Stocks have stumbled into October with the S&P 500 down about 6% as I write this. The source of equity investors' angst is always hard to pinpoint and this is no exception but this correction doesn't seem to be due to concerns about economic growth. At least not directly.
The...
The EU Commission's measure of economic sentiment (ESI) continued to edge down in September. At 110.9, the index was 0.7 points short of its unrevised August reading and at its lowest level since June last year. The gauge has fallen every month so far in 2018.
Read the rest at...
I have been a fan of Japan as an investment for quite a while now. Shinzo Abe's economic reforms are, for now, paying large dividends. There are questions of course about monetary policy as implemented by the inventors of Quantitative Easing, taking monetary policy where it has rarely been....
Japan's stock market hasn't done much this year - the Nikkei is up about 4% YTD - but you can't blame that on poor corporate earnings growth. Earnings for the Nikkei are up about 30% year over year and profit margins are hitting new highs (from the FT):
Shinzo Abe...