As I sit
here Monday evening with the Dow having closed down 2000 points and the 10-year
Treasury yield around 0.5%, the title of this update seems utterly ridiculous.
With the new coronavirus still spreading and a collapse in oil prices
threatening the entire shale oil industry, recession is now the expected
outcome. Most...
Is the Fed’s monetary tightening about over? Maybe, maybe not but there does seem to be some disagreement between Jerome Powell and his Vice Chair, Richard Clarida. Powell said just a little over a month ago that the Fed Funds rate was still “a long way from neutral” and that...
Howard Gold had an article last week at Marketwatch:
Why is the US stock market weak? Because the economy is too strong.
What does it mean for the economy to be "too strong"? Isn't growth supposed to be good for stocks? Gold's reasoning is that Fed tightening is driving up the...
Stocks have stumbled into October with the S&P 500 down about 6% as I write this. The source of equity investors' angst is always hard to pinpoint and this is no exception but this correction doesn't seem to be due to concerns about economic growth. At least not directly.
The...