There’s been a lot of talk recently about the number of businesses that will not reopen after the coronavirus pandemic—businesses that were only surviving because customers walked in the door everyday—businesses that failed when customers were required to stay home. COVID-19 isn’t the cause of these business failures. It’s...
Is Jerome Powell as tough as he thinks he is? Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun has his thoughts, plus surprises last week in housing, especially in the refi market.
Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun has strong words about the next anticipated Fed rate hike, what's really happening with the economy and what he thinks about last week's OPEC decision to cut oil production.
Stocks have gone up a lot in this expansion but so have earnings – on an almost one for one basis. But earnings are volatile and we’ve seen this plenty of times before. In this article at Project Syndicate, Robert Shiller compares the current period to the 1920s and other...
Elon Musk's lack of self control has finally bought Tesla a real problem. Does Tesla survive without Musk? That's a harder question to answer than it seems at first blush. The stock price is intimately intertwined with the aura of Elon Musk. Without him, Tesla is just a money...
As I sit
here Monday evening with the Dow having closed down 2000 points and the 10-year
Treasury yield around 0.5%, the title of this update seems utterly ridiculous.
With the new coronavirus still spreading and a collapse in oil prices
threatening the entire shale oil industry, recession is now the expected
outcome. Most...
Alhambra CEO Joe discusses a shift in the market the first week of the new year, as well as the dollar, a big miss on employment numbers, a high quits rate, and good export numbers.
Most everyone has heard of the Chinese proverb – or curse – that wishes one to live in “interesting times”. You’ve probably also heard that in Chinese the word “crisis” is composed of two symbols, one that denotes “danger” and another that means “opportunity”. Well we certainly live in...