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Monthly Macro Monitor – November 2018

Joseph Y. Calhoun, III - 0
Is the Fed’s monetary tightening about over? Maybe, maybe not but there does seem to be some disagreement between Jerome Powell and his Vice Chair,...
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Jeremy Siegel: 50% Probability of Recession In Two Years

Joseph Y. Calhoun, III - 0
A short interview with Jeremy Siegel by Robert Huebscher in Advisor Perspectives. Siegel touches on a number of interesting topics: The US stock market...
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Is The US Economy Too Strong?

Joseph Y. Calhoun, III - 3
Howard Gold had an article last week at Marketwatch: Why is the US stock market weak? Because the economy is too strong. What does it mean...
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How Blockchain Might Actually Prove Useful

Joseph Y. Calhoun, III - 0
I am not a fan of bitcoin and the myriad other cryptocurrencies. No, I'm sorry if you bought the hype, but these things have...
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The Dog That Isn’t Barking

Joseph Y. Calhoun, III - 6
One of the things I've been pondering lately is the possibility that we are in the midst of a regime shift. I'm not talking...
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Be Afraid Of Economic Bigness

Joseph Y. Calhoun, III - 1
Tim Wu, a Columbia University law professor, has an intriguing opinion article in the Sunday New York Times about the link between big business...
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How To Win Keynes’ Beauty Contest

Joseph Y. Calhoun, III - 0
Tuesday's election result was about as expected as you can get in markets. The accepted wisdom going into the election was that Democrats would...
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Stocks Are In Correction Mode, But Don’t Blame The Economy

MyPersonalCFO - 0
Stocks have stumbled into October with the S&P 500 down about 6% as I write this. The source of equity investors' angst is always...
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Ten Years After Lehman: Bubbles and Zombies Galore

Joseph Y. Calhoun, III - 0
One of my favorite financial writers, Edward Chancellor, has posted this article over at ThinkMarkets, an NYU economic blog. Chancellor is the author of...
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Do Spectacular Earnings Justify Spectacular US Stock Prices?

Joseph Y. Calhoun, III - 0
Stocks have gone up a lot in this expansion but so have earnings – on an almost one for one basis. But earnings are...
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